The Pirates vs. Cardinals game is coming up, and it’s an important one for fans and bettors alike. It’s always a big matchup, but even more so this season.
This article will use data to help you make an informed decision about the game. We’ll be looking at team and individual stats, moneyline odds, and recent trends to try to get a sense of how the game might go.
Of course, sports predictions are never a sure thing, but hopefully, this analysis will provide a helpful framework.
Pirates vs. Cardinals: Moneyline Odds and What They Mean
Before we dive into the stats and make a prediction, let’s take a look at the current moneyline odds for the Pirates vs. Cardinals game. These odds tell us who the betting market thinks will win and, more importantly, give us an idea of the potential payout.
Current Moneyline Odds
As of today, the moneyline odds are: Pirates -132 (favorite), Cardinals +112 (underdog). This means you’d need to bet $132 on the Pirates to win $100, while a $100 bet on the Cardinals would win you $112 if they pull off the upset.
Implied Win Probabilities
We can convert these odds into implied win probabilities. The Pirates have a 53% implied probability of winning, while the Cardinals have a 47% implied probability. This is just a snapshot of what the betting market thinks.
Historical Performance as Favorites/Underdogs
Let’s add some context by looking at how each team performs in these situations. The Pirates win about 57.6% of their games when they’re the favorite. The Cardinals, on the other hand, win around 48.7% of their games as the underdog. Looking at these numbers may help you make an informed betting decision.
Team Statistics and Recent Trends
To make an informed bet, it’s important to look at how these teams have been performing lately.
Pirates Recent Performance
The Pirates have been a solid bet recently, going 6-3 in their last ten games. We’ll also need to dig into their recent record against the spread (ATS) to see if they’re exceeding expectations. It’s also worth noting how often their games have gone over or under the projected total.
Cardinals Recent Performance
Let’s do the same for the Cardinals. What’s their recent betting record? How have they been performing against the spread? And how often are their games going over or under the total?
Key Team Statistics
Comparing some key stats will also be helpful. How many runs per game have the Pirates and Cardinals been averaging lately? How many home runs have they hit? And how do their ERAs and K/9 rates stack up? The Pirates have an ERA of 3.80 and a K/9 rate of 8.8, while the Cardinals boast an ERA of 3.20 and a K/9 of 9.4.
Key Player Insights and Prop Bets
Let’s take a look at some players to watch and some possible prop bets for the Pirates vs. Cardinals game.
Pirates Key Players
Keep an eye on Bryan Reynolds (batting average, HR, RBI, hitting streak), Oneil Cruz (batting average, doubles, triples, HR), and Andrew McCutchen (doubles, triple, HR, walks, batting average). You might want to consider a prop bet on Reynolds to hit a home run.
Cardinals Key Players
For the Cardinals, watch Alec Burleson (HR, RBI), Brendan Donovan (doubles, triples, HR, walks, batting average), and Nolan Arenado (doubles, HR, walks, batting average). See if you can find a prop bet on Arenado to get a double.
Impact of Starting Pitcher
If the starting pitchers are known before you place your bet, be sure to check their recent performance. A strong starting pitcher can significantly affect the game’s outcome.
Predicted Outcome and Betting Recommendations
Alright, let’s get down to brass tacks. I’m calling this one close: Cardinals 5, Pirates 4.
As for the over/under, I’d lean towards the under. Both offenses have been a little sluggish, and I think the pitching will keep the score relatively low.
My final betting recommendation? I’d suggest a small wager on the Cardinals moneyline. They’re the underdogs here, and their recent pitching performance gives them a decent shot at pulling off the upset. It’s a risk, but the potential payout is worth a sprinkle.
Remember, folks, these are just predictions! Don’t bet the house. Gamble responsibly, and enjoy the game!
The Bottom Line
Smart betting means using stats to inform your choices. We looked at moneyline odds, team stats, and how the players are performing to make our prediction.
Use this information as a jumping-off point for your own research. Good luck with your bets!